Posted by
whoyg1594 on Monday, October 26, 2009 9:41:16 PM
The Kremlin has stoked anti-Ukrainian resentment in recent years, but
its propaganda machine may be softening ahead of Ukraine's Jan. 17
presidential election.
And, while official Russia is
warming to their Slavic brothers ever so slightly, much of the
population remains deeply split over whether to regard Ukraine
positively.
A poll from the
Moscow-based Levada Center Sept. 18-21 showed 46 percent of Russians
have a "good or very good" attitude toward Ukraine, while almost as
many (44 percent) see Ukrainians in a "bad or very bad" light. Another
10 percent remain undecided.
Ukrainians
regard their northern neighbors more warmly. A parallel study by Kyiv's
International Institute of Sociology showed between 88 percent and 93
percent of Ukrainians consistently hold a positive view of Russia,
despite repeated spats between leaders of the two nations.
Experts say pearl necklace wholesale the results are not surprising.
"There
is no state anti-Russia propaganda in Ukraine," said Oleksandr Paliy,
an expert at the Kyiv-based Foreign Policy Research Institute, a think
tank within the Diplomatic Academy of Ukraine.
In
contrast, Russians are markedly more hostile toward Ukraine, in no
small part because of a state-orchestrated propaganda campaign, said
Aleksey Grazhdankin, deputy director of Moscow's Levada Center.
"The
attitude toward Ukraine is the result of state propaganda," Grazhdankin
said. "Russia's information environment is a mono-polar world with only
one point of view. The standard is established by the state power and
is eventually followed by the majority."
Grazhdankin
expects further improvement in Russian attitudes toward Ukraine, noting
that Kremlin leaders appear to be taking a cautious attitude until the
Jan. 17 presidential election. Some also detect a tilt toward Ukrainian
Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko as the official campaign kicked off
Oct. 19.
But tensions can flare at any time between the neighbors - over any number of issues.
Many
are watching to see if Moscow will interfere in the presidential vote
by overtly backing a candidate, as it did in 2004, when then-Russian
President Vladimir Putin's support for Viktor Yanukovych backfired
badly.
Grazhdankin doesn't
think Russian leaders will make the same mistake in 2010. Rather, he
said, the Kremlin would send warning signals to all candidates, making
clear what Russia expects from them.
"It is unfavorable for Russia to worsen relations with the country before a new president is elected," Grazhdankin said.
But many say the bilateral relationship is in need of repair.
The
percentage of Russians with a good attitude toward Ukrainians has
remained below 55 percent since March 2008. By comparison, at least 80
percent of Russians shared a "good or very good" attitude to akoya pearl Belarus
during the same period.
Levada
Center's polls consistently show that Russians' attitude toward Ukraine
worsens each time top Russian officials make radical statements or take
action against Ukraine.
Anti-Ukrainian
sentiment was strong among Russians after the August 2008 war between
Russia and Georgia. Russian media repeatedly accused Ukraine of
supplying arms to the Caucasus country. Russian media also made
repeated and unsubstantiated claims that Ukrainian conscripts fought
alongside Georgian soldiers. Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko
added fuel to the fire by siding openly with Georgian counterpart,
Mikheil Saakashvili.
In a
poll conducted soon after, only 37.3 percent of Russians viewed
Ukrainians in a good light, while 52.6 percent said their attitude was
"bad."
Gas conflict and opinion
Russian's
attitudes toward the United States, which also sided with Georgia,
experienced an all-time low just after the Russian-Georgian war. In
September 2008, only 23 percent said their attitude toward the United
States was "positive or very positive." Previously, attitudes toward
the United States dipped sharply in the spring of 1999, when NATO
forces conducted a military operation in the former-Yugoslavia and, in
the spring of 2003, when the United States launched a military attack
on Iraq. Both moves were widely reported by the Russian press in a
negative manner and condemned by Kremlin officials.
Many
think Russian propaganda has tempered its virulent anti-Americanism, at
least for the moment, until the Kremlin leadership decides whether U.S.
President Barack Obama will bring an improvement in relations over the
hostility that existed during the administration of George W. Bush.
For
Ukraine, conflict over natural gas affects Russian opinion. The
previous dip in attitude (with 29 percent viewing Ukraine positively
and 62 percent negatively) took place in January during Russia's
three-week gas cutoff.
"Ukraine
was described by the majority of Russian media as a Russian gas robber,
and it seriously spoiled Russians' attitude," Grazhdankin said.
Pro-NATO
rhetoric, attempts to inflatable bouncers have the 1932-33 Communist-induced famine
recognized as genocide against the Ukrainian nation, and attempts to
honor the Ukrainian Insurgent Army (UPA) that fought against the
Communists and Nazis during and after World War II have hurt Russians'
view of Ukraine, experts said.
So why do Russian President Dmitry Medvedev and Prime Minister Vladimir Putin bash Ukraine so hard?
Viktor
Chumak, director of political programs at the Kyiv-based International
Center for Policy Studies, said, "Ukraine is a country where economic
and political competitiveness is cultivated," and such a neighbor is
dangerous for Russia's leadership because it offers an alternative to
their "soft authoritarian regime."
"The
image of Ukraine as an enemy," deep in crisis and worse off than Russia
is pushed in the Russian media to convince citizens there is "no better
alternative to their own regime," Chumak added.